Publication: 4/05, Pages: 420, Figures: 194, Tables: 109. Price: $3,950.00

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This is the only study that analyzes and forecasts the entire world’s Homeland Security and Homeland Defense expenditure landscape. This study provides a detailed roadmap to more than $1,150 Billion in cumulative GLOBAL market outlay in the Homeland Security and Homeland Defense sectors. The study looks at three categories: Market Segmentation by End Customer; Market Segmentation by Geographical Territories; Market Segmentation by Mission Areas.

Table of Content

1. Executive Summary
1.1. Introduction
1.2. Basic Scenario Assumptions
1.3. Methodology
1.4. Major Research Findings
1.4.1 Major Research Findings – Scenario I
1.4.2 Major Research Findings - Scenario II
1.5. Major Research Conclusions

2. Top-Down HLS/HLD Market Assessment
2.1. Introduction
2.2. Analysis HLS/HLD Outlay assumption
2.3. HLS/HLD Outlay Top-down Assessment
2.4. HLS/HLD Markets Top-down Assessment

3. Worldwide Economic Outlook - 2006-2015
3.1. General Worldwide Output Review
3.2. 2003-2015 Worldwide Economical Outlook
3.3. Worldwide Military Expenditure Outlook - 2003-2015
3.4. Worldwide Intelligence Communities Expenditure Outlook - 2003-2015

4. Worldwide Long Term HLS/HLD Market – Drivers

5. Worldwide Long Term HLS/HLD Market – Inhibitors

6. US Federal HLS/HLD Infrastructure
6.1. Definitions
6.2. US Federal HLS/HLD – Organizational Chart

7. US Defense & HLS Funding: A Historical Perspective
7.1. How Much Can America Spend On Its HLS/HLD - A Historical Review

8. The US Department of Homeland Security (DHS)
8.1. DHS - Structure and Missions
8.2. DHS – Tabulated Overview

9. US HLS Outlay 2006-2015
9.1. Intelligence and Warning
9.2. Border and Transportation Security (BTS)
9.3. Domestic Counterterrorism
9.4. Protecting Critical Infrastructures and Key Assets
9.5. Defending Against Catastrophic Threats
9.6. Emergency Preparedness and Response

10. The US Department of Defense (DoD) – HLD
10.1. HLD - DOD – Mission Sets

11. HLD/HLS Interplay
11.1. Reconciling Homeland Security (HLS) and Homeland Defense (HDS)
11.2. Distinguishing DOD/ HLD from HLS Agencies
11.3. The Challenge of HLS / HLD integration
11.4. Operational Environment
11.4.1 Definitions
11.4.2 HLS/HLD Relationship
11.5. Timeframe, Assumptions, and Risks
11.6. HLS/HLD Joint Missions
11.6.1 DESCRIPTION OF THE PROBLEM
11.6.2 2006-2015 Future HLD Capabilities
11.6.3 Enabling HLS / HLD Capabilities
11.7. HLS/HLD National Response Plan
11.7.1 Roles and Responsibilities

12. HLS/HLD Legislation
12.1. US HLS/HLD Presidential Directives
12.2. House and Senate Oversight (Organizational Diagrams)
12.2.1 HLS Related Senate Committees Organizational Diagram
12.2.2 House HLS Committees Organizational Diagram

13. Bottom-Up HLS / HLD Vulnerability Mitigation Analysis -
2006–2015
13.1. HLS/HLD – Areas of Vulnerability (Examples)
13.2. HLS/HLD Intelligence community
13.2.1 Intelligence and Warning Activities
13.2.2 HLS/HLD Intelligence & Warning Vulnerabilities
13.2.3 2006-2015 Intelligence Outlook
13.2.4 Threat and Vulnerability Assessment
13.3. Weapons of Mass Destruction
13.3.1 Defending Against Catastrophic Threats
13.3.2 DHS Defending Against Catastrophic Threats Outlay
13.3.3 Securing Nuclear Materials
13.3.4 Radiological Dispersion Device (RDD)
13.3.5 Bio-Terror Mitigation
13.4. Supply Chain and Maritime Security
13.4.1 Container Security
13.4.2 Nuc/Rad Screening Portals
13.5. Border Security
13.5.1 Border and Transportation Security - Strategic Context
13.5.2 Border and Transportation Security Vulnerabilities
13.5.3 Border and Transportation Security 2006-2015 Outlook
13.5.4 Visas
13.5.5 Vehicle Screening Methods
13.5.6 US-VISIT
13.5.7 Biometric Identification Cards
13.6. Aviation Security
13.6.1 Passenger Screening
13.6.2 Air Cargo on Passenger flights
13.6.3 ManPad (Shoulder-Fired Anti-Aircraft Missiles)
13.7. Critical Infrastructure Security
13.7.1 Critical Infrastructure Vulnerabilities
13.7.2 Planning of Infrastructure Security
13.7.3 Critical Infrastructure 2006-2015 Outlook
13.7.4 Information Sharing with the Private Sector
13.7.5 Chemical Plants Security
13.8. Food and Agro-Terror
13.8.1 Agro-Terror Mitigation
13.9. HLS/HLD Information Technology Systems
13.9.1 HLS/HLD Information Technology Systems Vulnerabilities
13.9.2 HLS/HLD Information Technology Systems 2006-2015
Outlook

14. HLD/HLS - Worldwide Outlook - by Territory

15. Worldwide HLS Outlay By Mission Areas – 2004-2015

16. International HLS Outlay By Mission Areas – 2006-2015
16.1. Mission Areas
16.1.1 HLS Intelligence and Warning
16.1.2 HLS Border and Transportation Security
16.1.3 HLS Domestic Counterterrorism
16.1.4 HLS Protecting Critical Infrastructures and Key Assets
16.1.5 HLS Defending Against Catastrophic Threats
16.1.6 HLS Emergency Preparedness and Response
16.1.7 International HLS Outlay Mission Areas - Priorities and
Trends- 2004 – 2010

17. US Long Term HLS/HLD Market – Drivers

18. US Long Term HLS/HLD Market – Inhibitors

19. Scenario I - US HLS/HLD Market Outlook -
2003-2015
19.1. Scenario I – Forecast Assumptions
19.2. Scenario I – 2006–2015 US HLS / HLD Forecast by Market
Sector - Summary and Conclusions
19.2.1 Scenario I - US Federal HLS Market Drivers - 2006-2015
19.2.2 Scenario I - US Federal HLS Market Inhibitors - 2006-2015
19.3. Scenario I - 2003-2015 Federal HLS Market Forecast
19.3.1 Scenario I - US DOD and Intelligence Community HLD Market
Drivers - 2006-2015
19.3.2 Scenario I - DoD and Intel Community HLD Market Inhibitors -
2006-2015
19.4. Scenario I - State and Local HLS Market Forecast -
2006-2015
19.4.1 Scenario I - State and Local HLS Market Forecast Drivers -
2006-2015
19.4.2 Scenario I - State and Local HLS Market Forecast Inhibitors -
2006-2015
19.5. Scenario I – Non-Government US HLS Market Forecast -
2003-2015
19.5.1 Scenario I – Non-Government US HLS Market Drivers -
2003-2015
19.5.2 Scenario I – Non-Government US HLS Market Inhibitors -
2003-2015
19.6. Scenario I - US HLS/HLD Market Forecast by Market
Segment Sector - 2003-2015
19.7. The US HLS/HLD Outlay Fraction of the US Defense Economy

20. Scenario I - The Middle East HLS/HLD Markets -
2003-2015
20.1. The Middle East - Market Background
20.2. Scenario I - The Middle East HLS/HLD Market Drivers -
2003-2015
20.3. Scenario I - The Middle East HLS/HLD Market Inhibitors -
2003-2015
20.4. Scenario I – The Middle East HLS/HLD – Principles for
Outlay Appraisal
20.5. Scenario I - The Middle East HLS/HLD Market Forecast -
2003-2015

21. Scenario I - The E.U. HLS/HLD Markets - 2003-2015
21.1. E.U. - Market Background
21.2. Scenario I - E.U. HLS/HLD Market Drivers - 2003-2015
21.3. Scenario I - E.U. HLS/HLD Market Inhibitors - 2003-2015
21.4. Scenario I – The EU HLS/HLD – Principles for Outlay Appraisal
21.5. Scenario I - E.U. HLS/HLD Market Forecast - 2003-2015

22. Scenario I - Australia, Japan, Pacific Rim HLS/HLD Markets -
2003-2015
22.1. Australia, Japan, Pacific Rim - Market Background
22.2. Scenario I - Australia, Japan, Pacific Rim - HLS/HLD Market
Drivers - 2003-2015
22.3. Scenario I - Australia, Japan, Pacific Rim HLS/HLD Market
Inhibitors - 2003-2015
22.4. Scenario I – Pacific Rim HLS/HLD – Principles for Outlay
Appraisal
22.5. Scenario I - Australia, Japan, Pacific Rim HLS/HLD Market
Forecast - 2003-2015

23. Scenario I - The PRC & India HLS/HLD Markets -
2003-2015
23.1. PRC & India - Market Background
23.2. Scenario I - PRC & India HLS/HLD Market Drivers -
2003-2015
23.3. Scenario I - PRC & India HLS/HLD Market Inhibitors -
2003-2015
23.4. Scenario I – The PRC and India HLS/HLD – Principles
for Outlay Appraisal
23.5. Scenario I - PRC & India HLS/HLD Market Forecast -
2003-2015

24. Scenario I - Canada & Mexico HLS/HLD Markets -
2003-2015
24.1. Canada & Mexico - Market Background
24.2. Scenario I - Canada & Mexico HLS/HLD Market Drivers -
2003-2015
24.3. Scenario I - Canada & Mexico HLS/HLD Market Inhibitors -
2003-2015
24.4. Scenario I – The Canada and Mexico HLS/HLD –
Principles for Outlay Appraisal
24.5. Scenario I - Canada & Mexico HLS/HLD Market Forecast -
2003-2015

25. Scenario I - Rest of World HLS/HLD Market Forecast -
2003-2015
25.1. ROW - Market Background

26. Scenario I - HLS/HLD Global Market Forecast -
2003-2015
26.1. Worldwide HLS/HLD Outlay by territory (2003-2015)
26.2. Worldwide 2003-2015 HLS/HLD Worldwide Markets

27. Scenario II - HLS/HLD Global Markets -
2003-2015
27.1. Scenario II vs. Scenario I Global Economy Outlook -
2007–2015
27.2. Scenario II - Worldwide Defense Outlay Outlook -
2007-2015
27.3. Scenario II Worldwide Intelligence Community Outlay -
2007-2015
27.4. Scenario II - Worldwide Private Sector HLS Outlay -
2007-2015
27.5. Scenario II Vs Scenario I Worldwide HLS Outlay [$B] -
2007–2015
27.6. Scenario II Vs Scenario I Worldwide HLD Outlay [$B] -
2007–2015
27.7. Scenario II Vs Scenario I Worldwide HLS / HLD
(incl. Private sector) Outlay [$B] - 2007–2015
27.8. Scenario II Vs Scenario I Worldwide HLS / HLD Market
[$B] - 2007–2015

Appendix A – HLS/HLD Legislation

A.1. US Homeland Security-Related Legislation
A.1.1. Introduction
A.1.2. Container Security Initiative (CSI)
A.1.3. Customs-Trade Partnership Against Terrorism (C-TPAT)

A.2. Homeland Security State Laws

A.3. The 107th, 108th and 109th Congress HLS/HLD
Public Law,
Acts and Bills
A.3.1. 108th Congress Homeland Security Legislation
A.3.2. 108th Congress Homeland Security Legislation
A.3.3. 109th Congress Homeland Security Legislation

A.4. International / European Legislation/Agreements
A.4.1. International Maritime Organization (IMO) Security
Proposals
A.4.2. Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT)
A.4.3. European Legislation and Regulation

List of Figures
Figure 1 - Scenario I - Worldwide “Total Defense” and Global HLS/
HLD Outlay [$B] - 2003–2015
Figure 2 - Scenario I - Worldwide “Total Defense” V(s) Global HLS/
HLD Outlay [%] Fraction of GDP - 2003-2015
Figure 3 - Scenario I - Worldwide HLS and HLD Outlay
Fraction of GDP [%]
Figure 4 - Scenario I - Worldwide HLS / HLD Markets [$B] -
2003–2015
Figure 5 - Scenario I - Worldwide HLS / HLD Market Fraction of
“Total Defense” Outlay [%]
Figure 6 - Scenario I - Worldwide HLS/HLD Market Fraction of
GDP [%] – 2003-2015
Figure 7 - Scenario I - Worldwide HLS / HLD Outlay by Territory
[$B] - 2003-2015
Figure 8 - Scenario I - HLS / HLD Outlay Share By Territory [%] –
2005, and Forecasted 2010, 2015
Figure 9 - Scenario I - Worldwide HLS / HLD Market [$B] -
2003–2015
Figure 10 – Scenario I - Worldwide HLS / HLD Market Share -
2005, 2010, and 2015
Figure 11 - Scenario I - HLS / HLD Market per Capita [$] – 2003,
and Forecasted 2005, 2010 and 2015
Figure 12 - Scenario I – US “Total Defense” (HLS, HLD Defense
and Intel Community) Outlay Fraction of GDP - 2003–2015
Figure 13 – Scenario I - Total US HLS/HLD Outlay Forecast
[$B] - 2003–2015
Figure 14 - Scenario I - US HLS/HLD Market by Sector [$B] -
2003–2015
Figure 15 - Scenario II - Worldwide GDP [$ Trillion] 2003–2015
Figure 16 - Scenario II Worldwide Defense Outlay [$B] 2003–2015
Figure 17 - Scenario II Worldwide Intelligence Community Outlay
[$B] 2003 –2015
Figure 18 - Scenario II - Private Sector HLS Outlay [$B]
2003–2015
Figure 19 - Scenario II Worldwide HLS / HLD (incl. Private Sector
Fraction of GDP [%] 2003 – 2015
Figure 20 - Scenario II - Worldwide HLS / HLD Market [$B] –
2003–2015
Figure 21 - Worldwide HLS/HLD Market Share
Figure 22 - % of HLS and HLD Outlay by Sector - 2005 and 2015
Figure 23 - Top-Down “National Security” Outlay Assessment
by Sector [$B] - 2005–2015
Figure 24 - HLS/HLD “Top-Down” Outlay Assessment [$B] -
2005–2015
Figure 25 - Scenario I - Worldwide Defense Expenditure by
Territory [$B] - 2003 and Forecasted 2005, 2010 and 2015
Figure 26 - Scenario I - Defense Expenditure Per Capita by
Territory per Year [$] - 2003 and Forecasted 2005, 2010 and 2015
Figure 27 - US National Intelligence Service Organizational Chart
Figure 28 – Great Britain - National Intelligence Service
Organizational Chart
Figure 29 – Scenario I - Worldwide Intelligence Communities
Estimated Expenditure by Territory [$B] - 2003–2015
Figure 30 - Worldwide Intelligence Communities Share by
Territory [%] – 2005, 2010 and 2015
Figure 31 - US Federal Homeland Security and Homeland
Defense Infrastructure – Organizational Chart
Figure 32 - US National Defense Outlays as a % Share of GDP -
1910-2008
Figure 33 - Scenario I - US “Total Defense” (HLS, HLD Defense
and Intel Community) Outlay Fraction of GDP - 2003–2015
Figure 34 - The 22 Agencies Which Have Been Moved to the DHS
Figure 35 – THE 2005 DHS Organizational Chart
Figure 36 - “Intelligence and Warning” US HLS Outlay 2006-2015
Figure 37 – Border and Transportation Security US HLS Outlay
2006-2015
Figure 38 – “Domestic Counterterrorism” US HLS Outlay 2006-2015
Figure 39 - Protecting Critical Infrastructures and Key Assets US
HLS Outlay 2006-2015
Figure 40 – “Defending Against Catastrophic Threats” US HLS Outlay
2006-2015
Figure 41 - Emergency Preparedness and Response US HLS Outlay
2006-2015
Figure 42 – US DOD HLS / HLD Strategic Concept of layered HLD
Figure 43 - The HLS / HLD Interplay
Figure 44 - DOD Homeland Security Paradigm
Figure 45 - HLS Related Presidential Decision Directives (PDD)
Figure 46 – HLS/HLD Related Senate Committees - Organizational
Diagram
Figure 47 – HLS/HLD Related House Committees - Organizational
Diagram
Figure 48 - The US National Intelligence Service Organogram
Figure 49 - Reported Interceptions of Nuclear/Radiological Materials,
1993-2000
Figure 50 - The Effects of a Co60 5000 Curie Dirty Bomb Deployed
in South Manhattan
Figure 51 - The Casualties of a 10 kiloton Nuclear Bomb are
Equivalent to Those of a 7 Kg of airborne released Anthrax
Figure 52 - Pre- 9/11 Container Supply Chain
Figure 53 - Influencing Elements on Container Technology
Evolution Forecast
Figure 54 - Future Port of Entry (or Other Checkpoints) Staggered
Multi-layer Checkpoints
Figure 55 - Conventional Visible Nuclear/radiological Portals
Figure 56 - Checkpoint Incorporating an Array of Concealed
Nuclear/Radiological Portals
Figure 57 - Artist’s View of Stationary Fused Technologies
Truck Screening System
Figure 58- Artist’s View of Several Concealed Nuclear/Radiological
Portal Concepts
Figure 59 - Third Generation People/Baggage Screening Portal
(artist view)
Figure 60 - Fused Technology, Multi-Function Screening Portal -
Neutron Activation-Based Alternative
Figure 61 - Alternative Technologies For Cargo Screening A
Multi-Threat Fused Technologies Cargo Screening Systems
Figure 62 – Scenario I - Worldwide HLD Outlay by Territory [$B]
Figure 63 - Global HLS Outlay by Territory [$B]
Figure 64 – Scenario I - Worldwide HLS/HLD Outlay Share [$B] –
2003-2015
Figure 65 - Scenario I - Worldwide HLD Outlay Share
by Territory [%] - 2005, 2010 and 2015
Figure 66 - Worldwide HLS Outlay by Mission Areas – 2004-2015
Figure 67 - Worldwide HLS Outlay by Mission Areas –
2004, 2010 and 2015
Figure 68 - International Intelligence and Warning HLS
Outlay [$B] - 2004-2015
Figure 69 - International Border and Transportation Security
HLS Outlay [$B] - 2004-2015
Figure 70 - Domestic Counterterrorism International
HLS Outlay 2004-2015 by [$B]
Figure 71 - Protecting Critical Infrastructures and Key Assets
International HLS Outlay [$B] - 2004-2015
Figure 72 - International Defending Against Catastrophic
Threats HLS Outlay [$B] - 2004-2015
Figure 73 - International Emergency Preparedness and Response
HLS Outlay 2004-2015 by [$B]
Figure 74 - International HLS Outlay Mission Areas [%] -
2004–2015
Figure 75 - Nominal US GDP and its Annual Growth - 2003-2015
Figure 76 - Total Federal US Taxes [$B] - 2003-2015
Figure 77 - US Federal Outlays vs. Federal Budget Deficit -
2003-2015
Figure 78 – Scenario I - US Federal HLS Outlay [$B] - 2003-2015
Figure 79 – Scenario I - US Federal HLS Market [$B] - 2003-2015
Figure 80 - Scenario I - Fraction of US Federal HLS Outlay of
Total Federal Budget - 2003-2015
Figure 81 - Scenario I - Fraction of US Federal HLS Market of
Total Federal Budget - 2003-2015
Figure 82 – Scenario I - Fraction of US Federal HLS Market of US
Federal HLS Outlay - 2003-2015
Figure 83 – Scenario I - US HLD R&D by DoD & Intelligence
Community Outlay [$B] - 2003-2015
Figure 84 – Scenario I - US Outsourced Federal HLD (DoD and Intel.
Community) R&D Market [$B] - 2003-2015
Figure 85 - Fraction of US Outsourced Federal HLD R&D
Market [%] - 2003-2015
Figure 86 - Fraction of US Outsourced Federal R&D Market From
US Defense Budget [%] - 2003-2015
Figure 87 - 2003-2015 US Intelligence Community & DoD HLD
(Excl. R&D) Outlay [$B] - Scenario I
Figure 88 - Scenario I – HLD Fraction of Defense Outlay [%] -
2003-2015
Figure 89 - Scenario I - Total (All Missions Including R&D) US
Intelligence Community & DoD HLD Outlay [$B] - 2003-2015
Figure 90 - Scenario I - Fraction of US Intelligence Community &
DoD Total HLD of Defense Budgets [%] - 2003-2015
Figure 91 - Scenario I - US HLD (Excl. R&D) Market [$B] -
2003-2015
Figure 92 - Scenario I - US Total (R&D, Products and Services)
HLD Market [$B] - 2003-2015
Figure 93 - Scenario I - Fraction of US Total HLD (R&D,
Product and Services)
Market From US Defense Budget Authority [%] - 2003-2015
Figure 94 - Scenario I - US State & Local HLS Outlay [$B] -
2003-2015
Figure 95 – Scenario I - State & Local HLS Market [$B] - 2003-2015
Figure 96 – Scenario I – Non-Government US HLS Market Forecast
[$B] - 2003-2015
Figure 97 – Scenario I - US Semi-Government and Private Sector
Outlay vs. Federal Outlay[$B] 2003–2015
Figure 98 - Scenario I - US HLS/HLD Market Share by Sector -
2005, 2010 and 2015
Figure 99 - Scenario I - USA HLS/HLD (Outsourced R&D, Products and
Services) Market [$B] - 2003–2015
Figure 100 - Scenario I - Fraction of US Defense and HLS /
HLD Outlay of National GDP [%] - 2003–2015
Figure 101 – The Middle East
Figure 102 - Middle East GDP by [$B] - 2003–2015
Figure 103 –Middle East GDP by Country [$B] - 2003 and
Forecasted 2015
Figure 104 - Middle East Population by Country by [Millions of people]
- 2003 and Forecasted 2015
Figure 105 - Middle East GDP per Capita by [$] - 2003-2015
Figure 106 - Middle East GDP per Capita by Country by [$] -
2003 and Forecasted 2015
Figure 107 - Middle East Total Defense Expenditure [$B] 2003-2015
Figure 108 - Middle East Defense Expenditure by Country [$M] -
2005 and Forecasted 2015
Figure 109 - Middle East Defense Expenditure per Capita [$] -
2005 and Forecasted 2015
Figure 110 - Scenario I - Middle East HLS / HLD Market Forecast
[$B] - 2003–2015
Figure 111 - Scenario I - Rate of Middle East Defense Outlay
of GDP [%] - 2003–2015
Figure 112 - Scenario I - Fraction of Middle East HLS / HLD
Market of Defense Expenditure [%] 2003–2015
Figure 113 - Scenario I - Middle East HLS / HLD Market per
Capita [$] - 2003–2015
Figure 114 - Scenario I - Middle East HLS / HLD Market in the
Region GDP [%] - 2003–2015
Figure 115 – The European Union (2005)
Figure 116 - Scenario I - E.U. GDP [$T] - 2003–2015
Figure 117 - Scenario I - E.U. GDP by Country [$B] - 2003 and
Forecasted 2015
Figure 118 – Scenario I - E.U. Population by Country by
[Millions of people] - 2003 and Forecasted 2015
Figure 119 - Scenario I - E.U. GDP per Capita by [$K] - 2003 - 2015
Figure 120 - Scenario I - E.U. GDP per Capita by Country [$] -
2003 and Forecasted 2015
Figure 121 - Scenario - E.U. Defense Expenditure [$B] - 2003 - 2015
Figure 122 - Scenario I - E.U. Defense Expenditure by Country [$B] -
2003 and Forecasted 2015
Figure 123 - Scenario I - E.U. Defense Expenditure per Capita [$] -
2003 and Forecasted 2015
Figure 124 - Scenario I - E.U. HLS / HLD Outlay Forecast [$B] -
2003–2015
Figure 125 - Scenario I - E.U. HLS / HLD Market Forecast [$B] -
2003 – 2015
Figure 126 - Scenario I - Fraction of E.U. Defense Outlay of the
EU GDP [%] - 2003 – 2015
Figure 127 - Scenario I - Fraction of E.U. HLS / HLD Market of
the EU Defense Expenditure [%] - 2003 – 2015
Figure 128 - Scenario I - E.U. HLS / HLD Market per Capita [$] -
2003 – 2015
Figure 129 - Scenario I - E.U. HLS / HLD Market of GDP [%] -
2003 – 2015
Figure 130 – Australia, Japan, Pacific Rim Nations
Figure 131 - Scenario I - Australia, Japan, Pacific Rim GDP by
Country [$B] - 2003 and forecasted 2015
Figure 132 - Scenario I - Australia, Japan, Pacific Rim GDP
by [$T] - 2003–2015
Figure 133 – Scenario I - Australia, Japan, Pacific Rim Population
by Country [Millions of people] - 2003 and Forecasted 2015
Figure 134 - Scenario I - Australia, Japan, Pacific Rim GDP per
Capita [$K] - 2003-2015
Figure 135 - Scenario I - Australia, Japan, Pacific Rim GDP
per Capita by Country [$] - 2003 and forecasted 2015
Figure 136 - Scenario I - Australia, Japan, Pacific Rim Defense
Expenditure [$B] - 2003-2015
Figure 137 - Scenario I - Fraction of Australia, Japan, Pacific Rim
Defense Outlay of GDP [%] - 2003–2015
Figure 138 - Scenario I - Australia, Japan, Pacific Rim Defense
Expenditure by Country [$M] - 2003 and forecasted 2015
Figure 139 - Scenario I - Australia, Japan, Pacific Rim Defense
Expenditure per Capita [$] - 2003 and forecasted 2015
Figure 140 - Scenario I - Australia, Japan, Pacific Rim HLS /
HLD Outlay Forecast [$B] - 2003–2015
Figure 141 - Scenario I - Australia, Japan, Pacific Rim HLS /
HLD Market Forecast [$B] - 2003–2015
Figure 142 - Scenario I - Fraction of Australia, Japan, Pacific Rim
HLS / HLD Market of Defense Expenditure [%] - 2003–2015
Figure 143 - Scenario I - Australia, Japan, Pacific Rim HLS /
HLD Market per Capita [$] - 2003–2015
Figure 144 - Scenario I - Australia, Japan, Pacific Rim HLS /
HLD Market of GDP [%] - 2003–2015
Figure 145 – PRC and India
Figure 146 - Scenario I - PRC & India GDP [$T] - 2003–2015
Figure 147 - Scenario I - GDP PRC & India GDP by Country [$B] -
2003 and Forecasted 2015
Figure 148 – Scenario I - PRC & India Population by Country
[Millions of people] - 2003 and Forecasted 2015
Figure 149- Scenario I - PRC & India Average GDP per Capita [$K] -
2003-2015
Figure 150 - Scenario I - PRC & India GDP per Capita by Country [$] -
2003 and Forecasted 2015
Figure 151 - Scenario I - PRC & India Defense Expenditure [$B] –
2003-2015
Figure 152 - Scenario I - Fraction of PRC & India Defense Outlay
of GDP [%] - 2003–2015
Figure 153 - Scenario I - PRC & India Defense Expenditure by
Country [$B] - 2003 and Forecasted 2015
Figure 154 - Scenario I - PRC & India Defense Expenditure per
Capita [$] - 2003 and Forecasted 2015
Figure 155 - Scenario I PRC & India HLS / HLD Outlay Forecast
[$B] - 2003–2015
Figure 156 - Scenario I - PRC & India HLS / HLD Market
Forecast [$B] - 2003–2015
Figure 157 - Scenario I - Fraction of PRC & India HLS /
HLD Market of Defense Expenditure [%] - 2003–2015
Figure 158 - Scenario I - PRC & India HLS/HLD Market per
Capita [$] - 2003–2015
Figure 159 - Scenario I - PRC & India HLS / HLD Market of GDP
[%] - 2003–2015
Figure 160 - Scenario I - Canada & Mexico GDP [$T] - 2003–2015
Figure 161 - Scenario I - Canada & Mexico GDP by Country
[$B] - 2003 and Forecasted 2015
Figure 162 - Scenario I - Canada & Mexico Population by Country
[Millions of People] - 2003 and Forecasted 2015
Figure 163 - Scenario I - Canada & Mexico GDP per Capita by
Country [$] - 2003 and forecasted 2015
Figure 164 - Scenario I - Canada & Mexico Defense Expenditure
[$B] - 2003-2015
Figure 165 - Scenario I - Fraction of Canada & Mexico Defense
Outlay of GDP [%] - 2003–2015
Figure 166 - Scenario I - Canada & Mexico Defense Expenditure
by Country [$B] - 2003 and forecasted 2015
Figure 167 - Scenario I - Canada & Mexico Defense Expenditure
per Capita [$] - 2003 and forecasted 2015
Figure 168 - Scenario I - Canada & Mexico HLS / HLD Outlay
Forecast [$B] - 2003–2015
Figure 169 - Scenario I - Canada & Mexico HLS / HLD
Market Forecast [$B] - 2003–2015
Figure 170 - Scenario I - Fraction of Canada & Mexico HLS /
HLD Market of Defense Expenditure [%] - 2003–2015
Figure 171 - Scenario I - Canada & Mexico HLS / HLD Market
per Capita [$] - 2003–2015
Figure 172 - Scenario I - Canada & Mexico HLS / HLD Market
of GDP [%] - 2003–2015
Figure 173 – Rest of the World (R.O.W)
Figure 174 - Scenario I - ROW GDP Forecast [$T] -
2003–2015
Figure 175 - Scenario I - ROW Population Forecast
[Millions of People] - 2003–2015
Figure 176 - Scenario I - ROW HLS/HLD Outlay Forecast
[$B] - 2003–2015
Figure 177 - Scenario I - ROW HLS / HLD Market Forecast
[$B] - 2003–2015
Figure 178 - Scenario I - Fraction of ROW HLS/HLD Market
of Defense Expenditure [%] - 2003–2015
Figure 179 - Scenario I - ROW HLS/HLD Market per Capita
[$] -
2003–2015
Figure 180 - Scenario I - ROW HLS/HLD Market [%] of GDP -
2003–2015
Figure 181 - Scenario I - Worldwide HLS/HLD Outlay [$B] -
2003-2015
Figure 182 - Scenario I - HLS/HLD Outlay share [%] - 2003 and
Forecasted 2010 and 2015
Figure 183 - Scenario I - Worldwide HLS/HLD Market [$B] -
2003 2015
Figure 184 - Scenario I - Worldwide HLS/HLD Market share
[%] - 2003, 2010 and 2015
Figure 185 - Scenario I - Fraction of HLS/HLD Market of Defense
Expenditure - 2003 and forecasted 2005, 2010 and 2015
Figure 186 - Scenario I - HLS/HLD Market per Capita [$] - 2003
and Forecasted 2005, 2010 and 2015
Figure 187 - Scenario II vs. Scenario I - Worldwide GDP [$ Trillion] -
2007–2015
Figure 188 - Scenario II Vs Scenario I Worldwide Defense Outlay
[$Trillion] - 2007–2015
Figure 189 - Scenario II Vs Scenario I Worldwide Intelligence
Community Outlay [$B] - 2007–2015
Figure 190 - Scenario II Vs Scenario I Worldwide Private Sector
HLS Outlay [$B] - 2007–2015
Figure 191 - Scenario II Vs Scenario I Worldwide HLS Outlay
[$B] - 2007–2015
Figure 192 - Scenario II Vs Scenario I Worldwide HLD Outlay
[$B] - 2007–2015
Figure 193 - Scenario II Vs Scenario I Worldwide HLS / HLD
(incl. Private Sector) [$B] - 2007–2015 Outlay
Figure 194 - Scenario II Vs Scenario I Worldwide HLS / HLD
Market [$B] - 2007–2015

List of Tables
Table 1 - Scenario I - Worldwide “Defense Expenditure”,
HLS, HLD, Intelligence Community and GDP [$B] - 2003–2005
Table 2 - Scenario I - Worldwide HLD / HLD Market and
“Total Defense” Outlay vs. GDP [$B] - 2003–2005
Table 3 - Scenario I Worldwide “Defense Expenditure”, HLS,
HLD, Intelligence Community and GDP [$B] - 2006–2010
Table 4 - Scenario I - Worldwide HLS / HLD Market and
“Total Defense” Outlay vs. GDP [$B] - 2006–2010
Table 5 - Scenario I - Worldwide “Defense Expenditure”, HLS,
HLD, Intelligence Community and GDP [$B] – 2011-2015
Table 6 - Scenario I - Worldwide HLS / HLD Market and
“Total Defense” Outlay vs. GDP [$B] - 2011–2015
Table 7 - Scenario I - Worldwide “Defense Expenditure”, Defense
HLS, HLD, Intelligence Community Fraction of GDP [%] - 2003–2015
Table 8 - Scenario I - Fraction of Worldwide HLS / HLD Market
of GDP & “Total Defense” Outlay [%] - 2003–2015
Table 9 - Scenario I – Worldwide HLS / HLD Outlay by Territory
[$B] - 2003-2015
Table 10 - Scenario I –Worldwide HLS / HLD Outlay Share
by Territory [%] - 2003-2015
Table 11 - Scenario I - Fraction of Worldwide HLS/HLD Outlay
of GDP by Territory [%] - 2003–2015
Table 12 – Scenario I - Worldwide HLS / HLD Market by Territory
[$B] - 2003 – 2015
Table 13 - Scenario I - Global HLS / HLD Market Per Capita
by Territory [$] - 2003-2015
Table 14 – Scenario I - Fraction of US “Total Defense” of
GDP [%] - 2003–2015
Table 15 - Scenario I - Total US Federal HLS/HLD Outlay
Forecast [$B] - 2003–2015
Table 16 - Scenario I - US HLS/HLD Market by Sector
[$B] - 2003–2015
Table 17 - Scenario II – Worldwide GDP, Defense Outlay and
Markets HLS / HLD Outlay Summary Table
Table 18 - HLS/HLD “Top-Down” Outlay Assessment [$B] -
2005–2015
Table 19 - HLS/HLD “Top-Down” Outlay Assessment Fraction
of GDP [%] - 2005–2015
Table 20 - HLS/HLD “Top-Down” Assessment Fraction of
Worldwide Total Security and Defense Outlay [%]- 2005–2015
Table 21 - Worldwide GDP Forecast [$B] - 2003-2015
Table 22 - Worldwide GDP Share Forecast [%] - 2003-2015
Table 23 - Scenario I - Forecast of Worldwide Defense
Expenditure, by Territory [$B] - 2003–2015
Table 24 - Scenario I - Forecast of Worldwide Defense
Expenditure Share by Territory [%] - 2003–2015
Table 25 - Scenario I - Defense Expenditure Per Capita
by Territory [$] - 2003–2015
Table 26 – Scenario I - Worldwide Intelligence Communities
Estimated Expenditure by Territory [$B] 2003–2015
Table 27 - US National Total Defense, Gross Domestic Product* and
its % GDP for the 1980-2015 period (outlays in billions of current
dollars)
Table 28 – DHS Constituent Components, Personnel and
FY 2006 Budgets
Table 29 - Intelligence and Warning US HLS Outlay 2006-2015
Table 30 - Border and Transportation Security US HLS Outlay
2006-2015
Table 31 – “Domestic Counterterrorism” US HLS Outlay
2006-2015
Table 32 - Protecting Critical Infrastructures and Key Assets
US HLS Outlay 2006-2015
Table 33 – “Defending Against Catastrophic Threats” US HLS
Outlay 2006-2015
Table 34 - Emergency Preparedness and Response US HLS
Outlay 2006-2015
Table 35 - HLS/HLD Paradigm Seams and Transitions. Example:
The USA
Table 36 - Mitigation of Bio-Chem Threats by Agency
(partial list)
Table 37 - Maritime Smart Container – Evolving Technologies
Overview and Analysis
Table 38 - Major Agency Roles and Missions Summary – Border
and Transportation Security
Table 39 - Selected Critical Infrastructure Potential Targets in the US
Table 40 - Scenario I - Worldwide HLD Outlay [$B] - 2003–2015
Table 41 - Scenario I - Worldwide HLS Outlay [$B] - 2003–2015
Table 42 - Worldwide HLS Outlay by Mission Areas [$B] –
2004-2015
Table 43 - Worldwide HLS Outlay by Mission Areas [%] –
2004-2015
Table 44 - International Intelligence and Warning HLS Outlay [$B] -
Table 45 - International “Border and Transportation Security”
HLS Outlay [$B] - 2004-2015
Table 46 - International Domestic Counterterrorism HLS Outlay
[$B] - 2004-2015
Table 47 - International Protecting Critical Infrastructures and
Key Assets HLS Outlay [$B] - 2004-2015
Table 48 –International “Defense Against Catastrophic Threats”
HLS Outlay [$B] -2004-2015
Table 49 - International Emergency Preparedness and Response
HLS Outlay [$B] - 2004-2015
Table 50 - International HLS Outlay Mission Areas [$B] -
2004–2010
Table 51 - International HLS Outlay Mission Areas [%] -
2004–2010
Table 52 - US Economic Outlook - 2003-2015
Table 53 - Scenario I Federal HLS Market Forecast -
2003-2015
Table 54 - Scenario I - US HLD Outsourced R&D [$B]-
2003-2015
Table 55 - Scenario I - US Federal HLD (Excl. R&D) Markets -
2003-2015
Table 56 - Scenario I - US Total (R&D, Products and Services)
HLD Markets - 2003-2015
Table 57 - Scenario I - State and Local HLS Market Forecast
[$B] - 2003-2015
Table 58 – Scenario I - Non Government 2003-2015 US HLS
Market Forecast [$B] - 2003–2015
Table 59 - Scenario I - USA HLS/HLD Markets [$B] By Sector -
2003–2015
Table 60 - Scenario I - Fraction of US Defense and HLS / HLD
Outlay of National GDP [%] - 2003–2015
Table 61 - Middle East GDP by Country by [$B] - 2003–2015
Table 62 – Middle East Population by Country by [Millions of people] -
2003–2015
Table 63 - Middle East GDP per Capita by Country by [$] -
2003–2015
Table 64 - Middle East Defense Expenditure by Country [$M] -
2003–2015
Table 65 - Middle East Defense Expenditure per Capita [$] -
2003–2015
Table 66 - Scenario I - Middle East HLS/HLD Market Forecast –
2003-2015
Table 67 - Scenario I - E.U. GDP by Country by [$B] - 2003–2015
Table 68 – Scenario I - E.U. Population by Country by
[Millions of people] -2003–2015
Table 69 - Scenario I - E.U. GDP per Capita by Country by [$] -
2003–2015
Table 70 - Scenario I - E.U. Defense Expenditure by Country [$B] -
2003–2015
Table 71 - Scenario I - E.U. Defense Expenditure per Capita [$] -
2003–2015
Table 72 - Scenario I - E.U. HLS / HLD Market Forecast -
2003–2015
Table 73 - Scenario I - Australia, Japan, Pacific Rim GDP by
Country [$B] - 2003–2015
Table 74 – Scenario I - Australia, Japan, Pacific Rim Population
by Country [Millions of people] - 2003–2015
Table 75 - Scenario I - Australia, Japan, Pacific Rim GDP per
Capita by Country [$] - 2003–2015
Table 76 - Scenario I - Australia, Japan, Pacific Rim Defense
Expenditure by Country [$M] - 2003–2015
Table 77 - Scenario I - Australia, Japan, Pacific Rim Defense
Expenditure per Capita [$] - 2003–2015
Table 78: Scenario I - Australia, Japan, Pacific Rim HLS / HLD
Market Forecast - 2003–2015
Table 79 - Scenario I - PRC & India GDP by Country [$B] -
2003–2015
Table 80 – Scenario I - PRC & India Population by Country
[Millions of people] 2003–2015
Table 81 - Scenario I - PRC & India GDP per Capita by Country
by [$] - 2003–2015
Table 82 - Scenario I - PRC & India Defense Expenditure by Country
[$M] - 2003–2015
Table 83 - Scenario I - PRC & India Defense Expenditure per Capita
[$] - 2003–2015
Table 84 - Scenario I - PRC & India HLS / HLD Market Forecast -
2003–2015
Table 85 - Scenario I - Canada & Mexico GDP by Country [$B] -
2003–2015
Table 86 - Scenario I - Canada & Mexico Population by Country
[Millions of people] - 2003–2015
Table 87 - Scenario I - Canada & Mexico GDP per Capita by Country
[$] - 2003–2015
Table 88 - Scenario I - Canada & Mexico Defense Expenditure by
Country [$M] - 2003–2015
Table 89 - Scenario I - Canada & Mexico Defense Expenditure per
Capita [$] - 2003–2015
Table 90 - Scenario I - Canada & Mexico HLS / HLD Market Forecast -
2003–2015
Table 91 - Scenario I - ROW HLS/HLD Market Forecast - 2003–2015
Table 92: Scenario I - Worldwide HLS/HLD Outlay [$B] - 2003–2015
Table 93 - Scenario I - Fraction of HLS/HLD Outlay of GDP [%] -
2003–2015
Table 94 - Scenario I - Worldwide HLS/HLD Market [$B] - 2003–2015
Table 95 - Scenario I - Worldwide HLS/HLD Market share [%] -
2003–2015
Table 96 - Scenario I - Fraction of HLS/HLD Market from Defense
Expenditure [%] - 2003–2015
Table 97 - Scenario I - HLS/HLD Market per Capita [$] -
2003–2015
Table 98 - Scenario I - Fraction of HLS/HLD Market of HLS/
HLD Outlay [%] - 2003–2015
Table 99 - Scenario I - Worldwide HLS/HLD Outlay [$B] -
2003–2015
Table 100 - Scenario II Vs Scenario I - Worldwide GDP
[$ Trillion] - 2007–2015
Table 101 - Scenario II vs. Scenario I Worldwide Defense
Outlay [$ Trillion] - 2007–2015
Table 102 - Scenario II Vs Scenario I Worldwide Intelligence
Community Outlay [$B] - 2007–2015
Table 103 - Scenario II Vs Scenario I Worldwide Private Sector
HLS Outlay [$B] - 2007–2015
Table 104 - Scenario II Vs Scenario I Worldwide HLS Outlay [$B] -
2007–2015
Table 105 - Scenario II Vs Scenario I Worldwide HLS Outlay [$B] -
2007–2015
Table 106 - Scenario II Vs Scenario I Worldwide HLS / HLD
(incl. Private sector) Outlay [$B] - 2007–2015
Table 107 - Scenario II Vs Scenario I Worldwide HLS / HLD Outlay
% of GDP - 2007–2015
Table 108 - Scenario II Vs Scenario I Worldwide HLS / HLD Market
[$B] - 2007–2015
Table 109 - Scenario II Vs Scenario I Worldwide HLS / HLD Market
% of GDP - 2007 – 2015